[D66] Moore's law and its death

[René Oudeweg]

$ describe "Moore's law" en --exact
en:
Moore's law
Moore's law is the observation that the number of transistors in an 
integrated circuit (IC) doubles about every two years. Moore's law is an 
observation and projection of a historical trend. Rather than a law of 
physics, it is an empirical relationship linked to gains from experience 
in production.
The observation is named after Gordon Moore, the co-founder of Fairchild 
Semiconductor and Intel (and former CEO of the latter), who in 1965 
posited a doubling every year in the number of components per integrated 
circuit, and projected this rate of growth would continue for at least 
another decade. In 1975, looking forward to the next decade, he revised 
the forecast to doubling every two years, a compound annual growth rate 
(CAGR) of 41%. While Moore did not use empirical evidence in forecasting 
that the historical trend would continue, his prediction held since 1975 
and has since become known as a "law".
Moore's prediction has been used in the semiconductor industry to guide 
long-term planning and to set targets for research and development, thus 
functioning to some extent as a self-fulfilling prophecy. Advancements 
in digital electronics, such as the reduction in quality-adjusted 
microprocessor prices, the increase in memory capacity (RAM and flash), 
the improvement of sensors, and even the number and size of pixels in 
digital cameras, are strongly linked to Moore's law. These ongoing 
changes in digital electronics have been a driving force of 
technological and social change, productivity, and economic growth.
Industry experts have not reached a consensus on exactly when Moore's 
law will cease to apply. Microprocessor architects report that 
semiconductor advancement has slowed industry-wide since around 2010, 
slightly below the pace predicted by Moore's law. In September 2022 
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang considered Moore's law dead, while Intel CEO Pat 
Gelsinger was of the opposite view.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore%27s_law
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