[D66] [JD: 120] Is covid-19 een A-ziekte bij een IFR van ~0.15% ? Nee.

[R.O.]

Dacht ik al, aan deze hete brei wil niemand z'n vinger branden, zeker
die lammeren uit de Tweede Slaapkamer niet en op deze lijst niet.
Is Hugo de Jonge en Rutte het land al onvlucht wegens mogelijke
vervolging? Hier komen ze niet zomaar mee weg...

Nogmaals, de global IFR ligt volgens recente harde wetenschappelijke
schattingen op 0.15% !

Je verzint het niet, covid-19 is inderdaad een milde maar dodelijke
seizoensgriep gebleken.



On 23-06-2021 09:35, R.O. wrote:
> Kan Fluks of iemand reageren hierop?
> 
> 
> On 22-06-2021 22:00, R.O. wrote:
>> PS
>>
>> opm:  Sars ligt bij 11%, Ebola tussen 25-90%, MERS is 34%.
>>       (Dit is de CFR, IFR zal iets lager zijn maar nog vele malen hoger
>> dan Covid-19))
>>
>>
>> On 22-06-2021 21:47, R.O. wrote:
>>> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_human_disease_case_fatality_rates
>>> https://ourworldindata.org/mortality-risk-covid?country=~NLD
>>>
>>> De grafiek geeft voor NL momenteel een CFR van 1%.
>>>
>>> Dat is de case fatality rate, maar we willen de IFR weten. Daar staat
>>> dat de IFR 2% is.
>>>
>>> Dus indien (2% < IFR <= 0.15%) dan is Covid-19 zeker geen A-ziekte.
>>>
>>> Sars ligt bij 11%, Ebola tussen 25-90%, MERS is 34%.
>>>
>>> Einde discussie. Alle maatregelen kunnen per direct van tafel inclusief
>>> de massavaccinatie.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On 22-06-2021 21:23, R.O. wrote:
>>>> https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/eci.13554
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Background
>>>>
>>>> Estimates of community spread and infection fatality rate (IFR) of
>>>> COVID-19 have varied across studies. Efforts to synthesize the evidence
>>>> reach seemingly discrepant conclusions.
>>>>
>>>> Methods
>>>>
>>>> Systematic evaluations of seroprevalence studies that had no
>>>> restrictions based on country and which estimated either total number of
>>>> people infected and/or aggregate IFRs were identified. Information was
>>>> extracted and compared on eligibility criteria, searches, amount of
>>>> evidence included, corrections/adjustments of seroprevalence and death
>>>> counts, quantitative syntheses and handling of heterogeneity, main
>>>> estimates and global representativeness.
>>>> Results
>>>>
>>>> Six systematic evaluations were eligible. Each combined data from 10 to
>>>> 338 studies (9-50 countries), because of different eligibility criteria.
>>>> Two evaluations had some overt flaws in data, violations of stated
>>>> eligibility criteria and biased eligibility criteria (eg excluding
>>>> studies with few deaths) that consistently inflated IFR estimates.
>>>> Perusal of quantitative synthesis methods also exhibited several
>>>> challenges and biases. Global representativeness was low with 78%-100%
>>>> of the evidence coming from Europe or the Americas; the two most
>>>> problematic evaluations considered only one study from other continents.
>>>> Allowing for these caveats, four evaluations largely agreed in their
>>>> main final estimates for global spread of the pandemic and the other two
>>>> evaluations would also agree after correcting overt flaws and biases.
>>>>
>>>> Conclusions
>>>>
>>>> All systematic evaluations of seroprevalence data converge that
>>>> SARS-CoV-2 infection is widely spread globally. Acknowledging residual
>>>> uncertainties, the available evidence suggests average global IFR of
>>>> ~0.15% and ~1.5-2.0 billion infections by February 2021 with substantial
>>>> differences in IFR and in infection spread across continents, countries
>>>> and locations.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On 22-06-2021 21:18, R.O. wrote:
>>>>> We weten inmiddels dat de IFR in een Standford University meta analyse
>>>>> over ca. 2 miljard positief geteste personen wereldwijd, is bijgesteld
>>>>> tot 0.15, zie LINK. Eerder bevestigde de WHO ook als dat de IFR was
>>>>> bijgesteld tot 0,23, zie LINK.
>>>> _______________________________________________
>>>> D66 mailing list
>>>> D66 at tuxtown.net
>>>> http://www.tuxtown.net/mailman/listinfo/d66
>>>>
>>> _______________________________________________
>>> D66 mailing list
>>> D66 at tuxtown.net
>>> http://www.tuxtown.net/mailman/listinfo/d66
>>>
>> _______________________________________________
>> D66 mailing list
>> D66 at tuxtown.net
>> http://www.tuxtown.net/mailman/listinfo/d66
>>
> _______________________________________________
> D66 mailing list
> D66 at tuxtown.net
> http://www.tuxtown.net/mailman/listinfo/d66
>