[D66] Hurricane Lorenzo Has Broken Records in the Atlantic | nytimes.com

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Tue Oct 1 11:31:14 CEST 2019


Hurricane Lorenzo Has Broken Records in the Atlantic
By
JACEY FORTIN
nytimes.com
4 min
View Original

No Category 5 storm has ever been recorded as far north and east in the
Atlantic as Lorenzo was. Now a Category 2, it could affect the Azores,
850 miles west of Portugal, by Tuesday.

Storms this strong don’t typically make it this far east. But Lorenzo
has not been a normal storm — it has been a record-breaker.

Lorenzo was a tropical storm last Monday, tracing a northwesterly route
from the coast of West Africa. By Wednesday, it was a hurricane. And on
Saturday night, it gained Category 5 status, with maximum sustained
winds of around 160 miles per hour.

At the time, it was about 1,420 miles southwest of the Azores, an
archipelago of volcanic islands in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean and
a protectorate of Portugal, which is about 850 miles to the east. The
nine major islands are home to about 250,000 people.

No Category 5 storm had ever been recorded that far north and east in
the Atlantic, according to Andrew Latto, a hurricane specialist at the
National Hurricane Center.

Since then, Lorenzo has lost some strength — it was a Category 2
hurricane as of Monday afternoon — but its path and size remain unique.
The storm is very broad, with tropical-force winds covering a span of
around 500 miles.

As it continues on what is now a northeasterly path, meteorologists have
warned the people of the Azores that a storm of uncharacteristic
strength could be at their doorstep by Tuesday night or Wednesday
morning. There is also a chance that tropical storm-force winds could
reach as far as Ireland and the United Kingdom, according to the
hurricane center.
The National Hurricane Center releases images of coastal watches and
warnings and a forecast cone for the center of storms.
The National Hurricane Center releases images of coastal watches and
warnings and a forecast cone for the center of storms.

“This is something totally unusual for this kind of environment,” said
Miguel Miranda, the president of the Portuguese Institute of the Sea and
Atmosphere, which is supervised by the government’s Ministry of the Sea.
“Most of the infrastructure is not really prepared for this kind of
situation.”

The institute issued a hurricane warning for the Western and Central
Azores, and the National Hurricane Center warned that “rainfall could
cause life-threatening flash flooding” on the islands.

The president of the Azorean regional government, Vasco Cordeiro, met
with other officials on Sunday to prepare for the storm.

“Proper steps are being taken in the areas of public works, transport,
social solidarity, housing, health and education, among other sectors,
in addition to the actions that are being carried out by the Azores
Region Civil Protection and Fire Service,” the government said in a
statement on Sunday.

Mr. Latto said that while the looping path of Lorenzo was not very
unusual for this time of year, its combination of size, strength and
location was rare.

He added that there was no single explanation for the hurricane’s
strength and behavior. “You had warm waters, low shear, and there’s a
decent amount of moisture,” he said. “It’s a delicate balance.”

Maritime traffic should be on the lookout for very big waves and swells
around the Azores in the coming days, Mr. Latto said, adding that ripple
effects — including riptides — could be felt all across the Atlantic basin.

A Category 5 storm is one with sustained winds of 157 miles per hour or
faster. It is the strongest category on the Saffir-Simpson scale, which
is based on sustained wind speeds. One or two Category 5 storms have
formed in the Atlantic each year since 2016 — before that, they were
less common.

The last Atlantic storm to reach Category 5 status was Dorian, which
destroyed communities in the Bahamas when it made landfall there earlier
this month.

Hurricanes are most common in the northwestern Pacific Ocean — where
they are often called typhoons — and in the western Atlantic Ocean. They
also occur in the South Pacific and the Indian Ocean, but they are
extremely rare in the South Atlantic, and cannot form over colder waters
near the poles.

The relationship between hurricanes and global warming is complicated,
but there is a consensus that human-driven climate change is making
hurricanes more intense. Warmer oceans generally make storms stronger,
and rising sea levels can contribute to greater flooding from storm
surge. Recent research suggests that climate change has made storms
wetter than they have been in the past, and that Atlantic storms are now
more likely to move slowly or stall, which can be dangerous if they
linger over places where people live.

Mr. Miranda said that while he could not attribute any single storm or
event to global warming alone, it was clear that warmer water
contributed to storms’ strength.

Lorenzo, he added, “is not normal.”
Tropical Storm Karen Could Loop Toward the Bahamas and Florida
Sept. 25, 2019
How Has Climate Change Affected Hurricane Dorian?
Sept. 3, 2019
Climate Change Fills Storms With More Rain, Analysis Shows
July 11, 2019
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