Holland staat op zijn strepen

Tue Aug 30 11:16:01 CEST 2005

REPLY TO: D66 at nic.surfnet.nl

En terwijl de EU lekker ouderwets navelstarend protectionistisch reageert op de Chinese expansie, kiest de VS een veel positievere aanpak. Zorgen dat de economie van de VS mee profiteert van de groei in China en niet buitengesloten wordt, wat de EU blijkbaar juist wil. Vrijhandelscontracten dus ipv de grenzen dichtgooien. Ook omdat men de Chinezen niet onderschat, zie o.a. deze hearing over "The Emerging Chinese Advanced Technology Superstate":
http://www.uscc.gov/hearings/2005hearings/written_testimonies/05_21_22wrts/preeg_ernest_wrts.htm

Enkele quotes:

(2) The two principal “resource” indicators of advanced technology development are R&D expenditures and science and engineering graduates. Chinese R&D expenditures grew by 22 percent per year from 1995 to 2002, compared with 6 percent in the United States. Projected to 2005, Chinese expenditures will be higher than those of Japan, more than 60 percent of the EU level, and about 40 percent of the U.S. level. Chinese R&D is more heavily concentrated in manufacturing than is U.S. R&D, with 60 percent of the Chinese R&D performed by enterprises, 28 percent by government research institutions, and 10 percent by universities. 

(3) Chinese science and doctoral degrees increased by 14 percent per year from 1995 to 2001, compared with minus 1 percent in the United States. Projected to 2005, annual Chinese doctoral degrees will be half that of the U.S. level. Chinese doctoral degrees in engineering grew 18 percent per year from 1995 to 2001, compared with minus 2 percent in the United States. Projected to 2005, Chinese engineering doctorates will be 70 percent higher than the U.S. level. 

(8) The only practical way the United States can head off an East Asian preferential trading bloc, which excludes the United States, is through initiatives to create an Asia-Pacific free trade agreement, as agreed at summit level in Bogor in 1994. The centerpiece of such an agreement would be U.S.-China free trade, which although not feasible at this time, should be addressed through the formation of a high level U.S.-China study group to examine the economic costs and benefits of free trade between the United and China within the Asia-Pacific context. 

(14) The final conclusions extrapolate the Chinese advanced technology experience over the past 10 years into a broader historical perspective ahead. Prevailing paradigms about the post-Cold War world are found inadequate. A revised and updated new order of international relationships will center on political, economic, and military power relationships increasingly dominated by three advanced technology superstates—the United States, the EU, and China—each a regional advanced technology hegemon within the North America/Caribbean, European, and East Asian regions, respectively. The three regions together include 52 percent of global population, 79 percent of GDP, and 85 percent of merchandise exports. India may rise to advanced technology superstate status within 10-20 years, as the South Asian advanced technology hegemon. Relationships among the three advanced technology hegemons are not yet well defined, however, and other regions of the world will face important adjustments as well. 

Laten we hopen (en er vooral voor zorgen) dat de EU inderdaad 1 van die drie (of vier)  'advanced technology superstates' blijft. Ik heb er een hard hoofd in gezien de huidige koers... 

Groeten,
Mark Giebels

----- Original Message -----
From: dirkie <geensloof at yahoo.com>
To: ledenlijstD66 <D66 at nic.surfnet.nl>
Subject: Holland staat op zijn strepen
Date: Mon, 29 Aug 2005 21:55:01 -0700 (PDT)

> 
> REPLY TO: D66 at nic.surfnet.nl
> 
> Hollandse politiek neemt positie tegen "Chinese onslaught" die zich 
> schuldig voelt en gelijk zijn economie aanpast. Stel je voor dat ze 
> het Hollandse afzetgebied zouden verliezen. Die ramp zou niet te 
> overzien zijn:-))
> Amerika huldigt nog steeds het principe van: Wij geven ze stukjes 
> gekleurd papier en krijgen er TV's voor terug. Zolang wij de 
> modernste vliegtuigen en submarines e.d. bouwen kunnen onze burgers 
> goedkoop een chinese TV etc etc aanschaffen.
> Fat City (Dikke Mik)dus!
> 
> Holland is anaal retentief voor wat betreft foreign competition. 
> Progress, of als je wilt verandering, hou je niet tegen.
> Time for a paradigmshift in Hollandland. Lees verder..
> -----------------------------
> 
> China uses 20% of the world's copper ... 19% of the world's
> aluminum ... 55% of the world's cement ... 40% of the world's
> steel ... 30% of the world's coal ... and the country's oil demand
> has soared more than 400% in the last decade.
> It's becoming the manufacturer to the world undefined making half
> the world's shoes, 60% of its cell phones and 80% of the kids' toys
> sold in the U.S., just to name a few categories. And China is on its
> own building spree. Spending on factories, roads and other fixed
> assets rose 25.8% last year.
> China is the fastest growing economy in the world undefined 9.5% GDP
> growth last year. That means it accounted for a whopping 35% of all
> the economic growth in the world last year! What's more, In the
> first quarter, China's GDP averaged a blistering 9.4% compared to 12
> months earlier, while foreign direct investment continued to hit
> record levels. And, industrial production in China zoomed ahead in
> the year ending May 2005, up a whopping 16.6%.
> And don't forget one of the biggest developments in the financial
> markets today: the revaluation of (all values) the yuan.
> 
> Lenny, rollin'deep, droppin'Tha Knowlege
> forGETREALity
> 
> 
> 
> 		
> ---------------------------------
>   Start your day with Yahoo! - make it your home page
> 
> **********
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Mark Giebels

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