[D66] The Big AI Risk Not Enough People Are Seeing
René Oudeweg
roudeweg at gmail.com
Thu Sep 5 17:20:18 CEST 2024
theatlantic.com
The Big AI Risk Not Enough People Are Seeing
Tyler Austin Harper
16–20 minutes
Beware technology that makes us less human.
“Our focus with AI is to help create more healthy and equitable
relationships.” Whitney Wolfe Herd, the founder and executive chair of
the dating app Bumble, leans in toward her Bloomberg Live interviewer.
“How can we actually teach you how to date?”
When her interviewer, apparently bemused, asks for an example of what
this means, Herd launches into a mind-bending disquisition on the future
of AI-abetted dating: “Okay, so for example, you could in the near
future be talking to your AI dating concierge, and you could share your
insecurities. ‘I just came out of a breakup. I have commitment issues.’
And it could help you train yourself into a better way of thinking about
yourself. And then it could give you productive tips for communicating
with other people. If you want to get really out there, there is a world
where your dating concierge could go and date for you with other dating
concierges.” When her audience lets out a peal of uneasy laughter, the
CEO continues undeterred, heart-shape earrings bouncing with each sweep
of her hands. “No, no, truly. And then you don’t have to talk to 600
people. It will then scan all of San Francisco for you and say, These
are the three people you really ought to meet.”
What Herd provides here is much more than a darkly whimsical peek into a
dystopian future of online dating. It’s a window into a future in which
people require layer upon layer of algorithmic mediation between them in
order to carry out the most basic of human interactions: those involving
romance, sex, friendship, comfort, food. Implicit in Herd’s
proclamation—that her app will “teach you how to date”—is the assumption
that AI will soon understand proper human behavior in ways that human
beings do not. Despite Herd’s insistence that such a service would
empower us, what she’s actually describing is the replacement of human
courtship rituals: Your digital proxy will go on innumerable dates for
you, so you don’t have to practice anything so pesky as flirting and
socializing.
Read: America is sick of swiping
Hypothetical AI dating concierges sound silly, and they are not exactly
humanity’s greatest threat. But we might do well to think of the Bumble
founder’s bubbly sales pitch as a canary in the coal mine, a harbinger
of a world of algorithms that leave people struggling to be people
without assistance. The new AI products coming to market are
gate-crashing spheres of activity that were previously the sole province
of human beings. Responding to these often disturbing developments
requires a principled way of disentangling uses of AI that are
legitimately beneficial and prosocial from those that threaten to
atrophy our life skills and independence. And that requires us to have a
clear idea of what makes human beings human in the first place.
In 1977, Ivan Illich, an Austrian-born philosopher, vagabond priest, and
ruthless critic of metastatic bureaucracies, declared that we had
entered “the age of Disabling Professions.” Modernity was characterized,
in Illich’s view, by the standardization and professionalization of
everyday life. Activities that were once understood to be within the
competencies of laypeople—say, raising children or bandaging the
wounded—were suddenly brought under the purview of technical experts who
claimed to possess “secret knowledge,” bestowed by training and elite
education, that was beyond the ken of the untutored masses. The licensed
physician displaced the local healer. Child psychologists and their
“cutting edge” research superseded parents and their instincts.
Data-grubbing nutritionists replaced the culinary wisdom of grandmothers.
Illich’s singular insight was that the march of professional reason—the
transformation of Western civilization into a technocratic enterprise
ruled by what we now call “best practices”—promised to empower us but
actually made us incompetent, dependent on certified experts to make
decisions that were once the jurisdiction of the common man. “In any
area where a human need can be imagined,” Illich wrote, “these new
professions, dominant, authoritative, monopolistic, legalized—and, at
the same time, debilitating and effectively disabling the
individual—have become exclusive experts of the public good.” Modern
professions inculcate the belief not only that their credentialed
representatives can solve your problems for you, but also that you are
incapable of solving said problems for yourself. In the case of some
industries, like medicine, this is plainly a positive development. Other
examples, like the ballooning wellness industry, are far more dubious.
If the entrenchment of specialists in science, schooling, child-rearing,
and so on is among the pivotal developments of the 20th century, the
rise of online dating is among the most significant of the 21st. But one
key difference between this more recent advancement and those of
yesteryear is that websites such as Tinder and Hinge are defined not by
disabling professionals with fancy degrees, but by disabling algorithms.
The white-coated expert has been replaced by digital services that cut
out the human middleman and replace him with an (allegedly) even smarter
machine, one that promises to know you better than you know yourself.
Faith Hill: ‘Nostalgia for a dating experience they’ve never had’
And it’s not just dating apps. Supposed innovations including
machine-learning-enhanced meal-kit companies such as HelloFresh, Spotify
recommendations, and ChatGPT suggest that we have entered the Age of
Disabling Algorithms as tech companies simultaneously sell us on our
existing anxieties and help nurture new ones. At the heart of it all is
the kind of AI bait-and-switch peddled by the Bumble CEO. Algorithms are
now tooled to help you develop basic life skills that decades ago might
have been taken as a given: How to date. How to cook a meal. How to
appreciate new music. How to write and reflect. Like an episode out of
Black Mirror, the machines have arrived to teach us how to be human even
as they strip us of our humanity. We have reason to be worried.
As conversations over the dangers of artificial intelligence have heated
up over the past 18 months—largely thanks to the meteoric rise of large
language models like ChatGPT—the focus of both the media and Silicon
Valley has been on Skynet scenarios. The primary fear is that chat
models may experience an “intelligence explosion” as they are scaled up,
meaning that LLMs might proceed rapidly from artificial intelligence to
artificial general intelligence to artificial superintelligence (ASI)
that is both smarter and more powerful than even the smartest human
beings. This is often called the “fast takeoff” scenario, and the
concern is that if ASI slips out of humanity’s control—and how could it
not—it might choose to wipe out our species, or even enslave us.
These AI “existential risk” debates—at least the ones being waged in
public—have taken on a zero-sum quality: They are almost exclusively
between those who believe that the aforementioned Terminator-style
dangers are real, and others who believe that these are Hollywood-esque
fantasies that distract the public from more sublunar AI-related
problems, like algorithmic discrimination, autonomous weapons systems,
or ChatGPT-facilitated cheating. But this is a false binary, one that
excludes another possibility: Artificial intelligence could
significantly diminish humanity, even if machines never ascend to
superintelligence, by sapping the ability of human beings to do human
things.
The epochal impact of online dating is there for all to see in a simple
line graph from a 2019 study. It shows the explosive growth of online
dating since 1995, the year that Match.com, the world’s first
online-dating site, was launched. That year, only 2 percent of
heterosexual couples reported meeting online. By 2017, that figure had
jumped to 39 percent as other ways of meeting—through friends or family,
at work or in church—declined precipitously.
Besides online dating, the only way of meeting that increased during
this period was meeting at a bar or restaurant. However, the authors of
the study noted that this ostensible increase was a mirage: The
“apparent post-2010 rise in meeting through bars and restaurants for
heterosexual couples is due entirely to couples who met online and
subsequently had a first in-person meeting at a bar or restaurant or
other establishment where people gather and socialize. If we exclude the
couples who first met online from the bar/restaurant category, the
bar/restaurant category was significantly declining after 1995 as a
venue for heterosexual couples to meet.” In other words, online dating
has become hegemonic. The wingman is out. Digital matchmaking is in.
But even those selling online-dating services seem to know there’s
something unsettling about the idea that algorithms, rather than human
beings, are now spearheading human romance. A bizarre Tinder ad from
last fall featured the rapper Coi Leray playing the role of Cupid,
perched on an ominously pink stage, tasked with finding a date for a
young woman. A coterie of associates, dressed in Hunger Games chic,
grilled a series of potential suitors as Cupid swiped left until the
perfect match was found. These characters put human faces on an inhuman
process.
Leif Weatherby, an expert on the history of AI development and the
author of a forthcoming book on large language models, told me that ads
like this are a neat distillation of Silicon Valley’s marketing
playbook. “We’re seeing a general trend of selling AI as ‘empowering,’ a
way to extend your ability to do something, whether that’s writing,
making investments, or dating,” Weatherby explained. “But what really
happens is that we become so reliant on algorithmic decisions that we
lose oversight over our own thought processes and even social
relationships. The rhetoric of AI empowerment is sheep’s clothing for
Silicon Valley wolves who are deliberately nurturing the public’s
dependence on their platforms.” Curtailing human independence, then, is
not a bug, but a feature of the AI gold rush.
Of course, there is an extent to which this nurtured dependence isn’t
unique to AI, but is an inevitable by-product of innovation. The broad
uptake of any new technology generally atrophies the human skills for
the processes that said technology makes more efficient or replaces
outright. The advent of the vacuum was no doubt accompanied by a
corresponding decline in the average American’s deftness with a broom.
The difference between technologies of convenience, like the vacuum or
the washing machine, and platforms like Tinder or ChatGPT is that the
latter are concerned with atrophying competencies, like romantic
socializing or thinking and reflection, that are fundamental to what it
is to be a human being.
Read: AI has lost its magic
The response to our algorithmically remade world can’t simply be that
algorithms are bad, sensu stricto. Such a stance isn’t just untenable at
a practical level—algorithms aren’t going anywhere—but it also
undermines unimpeachably positive use cases, such as the employment of
AI in cancer diagnosis. Instead, we need to adopt a more sophisticated
approach to artificial intelligence, one that allows us to distinguish
between uses of AI that legitimately empower human beings and those—like
hypothetical AI dating concierges—that wrest core human activities from
human control. But making these distinctions requires us to re-embrace
an old idea that tends to leave those of us on the left rather
squeamish: human nature.
Both Western intellectuals and the progressive public tend to be hostile
to the idea that there is a universal “human nature,” a phrase that now
has right-wing echoes. Instead, those on the left prefer to emphasize
the diversity, and equality, of varying human cultural traditions. But
this discomfort with adopting a strong definition of human nature
compromises our ability to draw red lines in a world where AI encroaches
on human territory. If human nature doesn’t exist, and if there is no
core set of fundamental human activities, desires, or traits, on what
basis can we argue against the outsourcing of those once-human endeavors
to machines? We can’t take a stand against the infiltration of
algorithms into the human estate if we don’t have a well-developed sense
of which activities make humans human, and which activities—like
sweeping the floor or detecting pancreatic cancer—can be outsourced to
nonhuman surrogates without diminishing our agency.
One potential way out of this impasse is offered by the so-called
capability approach to human flourishing developed by the philosopher
Martha Nussbaum and others. In rejection of the kind of knee-jerk
cultural relativism that often prevails in progressive political
thought, Nussbaum’s work insists that advocating for the poor or
marginalized, at home or abroad, requires us to agree on universal
“basic human capabilities” that citizens should be able to develop.
Nussbaum includes among these basic capabilities “being able to imagine,
to think, and to reason” and “to engage in various forms of familial and
social interaction.” A good society, according to the capability
approach, is one in which human beings are not just theoretically free
to engage in these basic human endeavors, but are actually capable of
doing so.
As AI is built into an ever-expanding roster of products and services,
covering dating, essay writing, and music and recipe recommendations, we
need to be able to make granular, rational decisions about which uses of
artificial intelligence expand our basic human capabilities, and which
cultivate incompetence and incapacity under the guise of empowerment.
Disabling algorithms are disabling precisely because they leave us less
capable of, and more anxious about, carrying out essential human behaviors.
Of course, some will object to the idea that there is any such thing as
fundamental human activities. They may even argue that describing
behaviors like dating and making friends, critical thinking, or cooking
as central to the human condition is ableist or otherwise bigoted. After
all, some people are asexual or introverted. Others with mental
disabilities might not be adept at reflection, or written or oral
communication. Some folks simply do not want to cook, an activity which
is historically gendered besides. But this objection relies on a sleight
of hand. Identifying certain activities as fundamental to the human
enterprise does not require you to believe that those who don’t or can’t
engage in them are inhuman, just as embracing the idea that the human
species is bipedal does not require you to believe that people born
without legs lack full personhood. It only asks that you acknowledge
that there are some endeavors that are vital aspects of the human
condition, taken in the aggregate, and that a society where people
broadly lack these capacities is not a good one.
Without some minimal agreement as to what those basic human capabilities
are—what activities belong to the jurisdiction of our species, not to be
usurped by machines—it becomes difficult to pin down why some uses of
artificial intelligence delight and excite, while others leave many of
us feeling queasy.
What makes many applications of artificial intelligence so disturbing is
that they don’t expand our mind’s capacity to think, but outsource it.
AI dating concierges would not enhance our ability to make romantic
connections with other humans, but obviate it. In this case, technology
diminishes us, and that diminishment may well become permanent if left
unchecked. Over the long term, human beings in a world suffused with
AI-enablers will likely prove less capable of engaging in fundamental
human activities: analyzing ideas and communicating them, forging
spontaneous connections with others, and the like. While this may not be
the terrifying, robot-warring future imagined by the Terminator movies,
it would represent another kind of existential catastrophe for humanity.
Whether or not the Bumble founder’s dream of
artificial-intelligence-induced dalliances ever comes to fruition is an
open question, but it is also somewhat beside the point. What should
give us real pause is the understanding of AI, now ubiquitous in Big
Tech, that underlies her dystopian prognostications. Silicon Valley
leaders have helped make a world in which people feel that everyday
social interactions, whether dating or making simple phone calls,
require expert advice and algorithmic assistance. AI threatens to
turbocharge this process. Even if your personalized dating concierge is
not here yet, the sales pitch for them has already arrived, and that
sales pitch is almost as dangerous as the technology itself: AI will
teach you how to be a human.
About the Author
Tyler Austin Harper is an assistant professor of environmental studies
at Bates College and a contributing writer at The Atlantic.
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