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<div class="header reader-header reader-show-element"> <a
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href="https://www.sciencetimes.com/articles/32348/20210719/mits-1972-prediction-societal-collapse-updated-economic-devastation-century-schedule.htm">sciencetimes.com</a>
<h1 class="reader-title">MIT Predicts That Society Will Collapse
in 1972: Updated, Economic Devastation of Century on Schedule</h1>
<div class="credits reader-credits">Ron Jefferson</div>
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<div class="reader-estimated-time" dir="ltr">4-5 minutes</div>
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<p><span>In 1972, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, also
known as the prestigious MIT, predicted an impending societal
collapse that will occur in the 21st century. A recent study has
examined the update and confirmed that we are on schedule.</span></p>
<h2>Update on the 1972 MIT's World3 Model</h2>
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<p><img id="article_img_34723"
title="empire-state-building-new-york-466685"
src="https://1721181113.rsc.cdn77.org/data/images/full/34723/empire-state-building-new-york-466685.jpg?w=600?w=650"
alt="empire-state-building-new-york-466685"></p>
<p>(Photo: Lukas Kloeppel / Pexels)</p>
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<p>The 1972 prediction, also called the system dynamics model, is a
decade-old warning that consists of the various factors and risks
of industrial civilization collapse. The system dynamics model was
published by the Club of Rome and shows comprehensive data about
the limits to growth or LTG. Limits to growth are the factors that
will lead our society and industrialization into collapse due to
non-renewable resource exploitation and can happen at any time
within the 21st century.</p>
<p>This prediction gained attention from experts and industry
leaders but caused misinterpretations based on the data presented.
The ongoing track of MIT's prediction is noted widely accepted and
was even ridiculed by many. It was not proven as the events stated
in the prediction were yet to come, but KMPG, one of the largest
accounting firms in the world, had an expert to perform an update
about the collapse of our society, and the evidence showed that we
are unfortunately right on schedule towards the economic
devastation.</p>
<p>The study of MIT's 1972 prediction update is conducted by the
director of Klynveld Peat Marwick Goerdeler KPMG Gaya Herrington.
It was published in the <a
href="https://advisory.kpmg.us/articles/2021/limits-to-growth.html"
rel="nofollow"><em>Yale Journal of Industrial Ecology</em></a>,
entitled "Updates to limits to growth: Comparing the World3 model
with empirical data." The update shows the industrial projection
of global civilization towards the failing economic growth in the
next decade and the collapse of our society by 2040. Herrington
conducted the study as a personal project to focus more on the
factors and examine the accuracy of the MIT prediction over time.</p>
<p>The study of the MIT prediction update was not conducted nor
affiliated on behalf of KMPG and did not reflect their current
stance with the 1972 MIT World3 model. Herrington solely conducted
the analysis as a part of her Harvard University Masteral thesis
and with her affiliation with the Club of Rome as an advisor.</p>
<br>
<h2>Economic and Industrial Growth Derailed, Collapse of our Society
on Schedule</h2>
<p>Herrington's study on the limits to growth suggests how MIT's
World3 model fits in the recent data. Many studies have already
attempted to conduct the same study, and they found that the
conclusion to the societal collapse correlates with the real-world
developments. Among these studies is published in the <a
href="https://sustainable.unimelb.edu.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0005/2763500/MSSI-ResearchPaper-4_Turner_2014.pdf"
rel="nofollow"><em>Melbourne Sustainable Society Institute MSSI</em></a>,
entitled "Is global collapse imminent? An updated comparison of
the limits to growth with historical data".</p>
<p>The update to limits to growth was analyzed from 10 various data,
including fertility rates, mortality rates, human welfare,
population, ecological footprint, non-renewable resources, food
production, services, and pollution. According to <a
href="https://survivalacres.com/blog/mit-predicted-in-1972-that-society-will-collapse-this-century/"
rel="nofollow">Survival Acres</a>, Herrington's analysis shows
that these data from the recent timeline fits with 2 separate
scenarios: BAU2 or business as usual, and CT or comprehensive
technology. Herrington emphasized that although the MIT World3
model shows societal impact from the economic and industrial
growth, it is not meant to scare people and does not translate to
the extinction of humanity.</p>
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