[D66] With a half-million COVID cases daily, WHO warns world is at a critical juncture

[R.O.]

wsws.org:

With a half-million COVID cases daily, WHO warns world is at a critical 
juncture
Benjamin Mateus
2 hours ago

The fall and winter surge of COVID-19 cases, as predicted, has begun. 
The number of cases across North America and Europe is rising 
exponentially in some regions.

There have been more than 42.4 million cases of COVID-19 globally, with 
1.14 million deaths thus far. On Friday, the number of daily new cases 
reached an unprecedented 500,000-plus new infections. Global deaths have 
consistently tracked above 6,000 four days running.


At the World Health Organization Friday press briefing on the COVID-19 
pandemic, Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus ominously warned, 
“We are at a critical juncture in this pandemic. Particularly in the 
Northern Hemisphere. The next few months will be very tough and some 
countries are on a dangerous track. Too many countries are seeing an 
exponential increase in cases and that is now leading to hospitals and 
ICUs close to or above capacity, and we are still only in October. We 
urge leaders to take immediate action to prevent further unnecessary 
deaths, essential health services from collapsing and schools shutting 
again. As I said it in February and I am repeating it today, ‘This is 
not a drill.’” He strongly urged that world leaders could still “turn 
this around.”

During the question and answer session, epidemiologist Dr. Maria Van 
Kerkhove noted that ICU capacity for many regions might reach their 
limits in the next few weeks across Europe and North America. In what 
amounted to a plea, she cautioned that countries need to take “an honest 
assessment” of the situation immediately, utilizing all the data 
available to make “course corrections and necessary changes” to achieve 
the goals of reducing transmission and saving lives.

Dr. Mike Ryan reinforced these warnings: “We don’t have to see deaths 
track back to the horrific levels they were as a proportion of all cases 
as in the springtime. Things have changed, we are better, we are better 
now. We must prevent transmission. But we also need to focus on reducing 
the toll, which will rise in the coming days, I have no doubt. But we 
need to also put more investment in ensuring that our frontline system 
does not collapse in the face of an ever-increasing caseload of sick 
patients.”

On Thursday, the United States reported 74,301 new cases. This was the 
fourth-highest total ever and the highest since July 24 when the number 
of daily cases peaked at 79,000. The seven-day moving average death rate 
has also edged upwards over 800. More problematic has been the rapid 
rise in hospitalized patients, which exceeded 41,000 across the country, 
a 33 percent increase in the last three weeks.

In their most recent projections for the US, the Institute for Health 
Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), based at Washington State University, 
stated that the situation would intensify in November and December 
before peaking in January. With current facemask usage at under 50 
percent and state governments continuing to remove social distancing 
mandates, this will lead to nearly 500,000 preventable deaths by 
February 1, IHME said.

Across the Sunbelt states, case counts and deaths are climbing again. 
Southern and Midwestern states—Kentucky, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, 
Oklahoma, South Dakota, Wisconsin and Wyoming—have reported record high 
hospitalizations. Twelve states have seen the highest seven-day average 
of new cases, while six—Colorado, Indiana, Montana, Ohio, Oklahoma and 
Utah—have hit their highest case counts to date.

According to a Coronavirus Task Force report suppressed by the White 
House and leaked to CNN, small household gatherings are driving the rise 
in cases. With the holiday seasons fast approaching, Centers for Disease 
Control Director Dr. Robert Redfield, speaking at a call of the nation’s 
governors, said, “We think it’s imperative to stress the vigilance of 
these continued mitigation steps in the household setting.”

Almost every local health department across the country—from Vermont to 
New Mexico—has been sounding the alarm. A lockdown is in effect at the 
Oglala Sioux Tribe’s reservation in South Dakota, where 391 active 
COVID-19 cases have been reported among 20,000 residents. Hospitals in 
northern Idaho are running out of space for patients and officials have 
planned to airlift them to Oregon or Washington. Florida public health 
officials have called for the public to stop holding birthday parties 
for children. Texas Governor Greg Abbott is redirecting El Paso 
resources as 3,750 new infections have afflicted the region this week, 
including 1,161 cases just on Thursday.

After a summer of much boasting and misplaced pride, Europe has surged 
past North America as the new epicenter of the global pandemic. The 
number of new COVID-19 cases is tenfold higher, with over 218,000 
infections on Thursday accounting for 45 percent of all new cases worldwide.

Despite ample warnings that if nations did not build up their testing 
and contact tracing capacities, create programs to treat and care for 
quarantined cases adequately and make hospitals ready with appropriate 
material interventions and redundant staffing, the situation could 
quickly deteriorate to one in which lockdowns need to be imposed to 
bring the pandemic under control. Yet, despite ongoing counseling and 
warning, nations eager to get their economies back on firm footing 
quickly declared victory and let loose.

France reported over 42,000 cases yesterday, with almost 300 deaths. 
Along with Russia and Spain, it is distinguished as a nation with more 
than 1 million cases of COVID-19. Estimates indicate that by November 
daily cases will double their current levels. Though a curfew has been 
placed into effect from 9 p.m. until 6 a.m. for 46 million of France’s 
67 million people, businesses and schools remain open. The latest count 
indicates 2,139 COVID-19 patients on ventilators, which account for 
one-third of the country’s capacity.

The United Kingdom has seen new cases exceed 20,000 for four consecutive 
days. Wales imposed a national shutdown on Friday, with stay-at-home 
orders for the population and all nonessential businesses, including 
pubs, to be shut. North Ireland is closing schools for two weeks with a 
review on November 2. Restaurants and cafes will operate on a limited 
basis for the next four weeks. Londoners are facing new restrictions again.

Nottingham University Hospital Trust told the BBC that “a full ward of 
people” with COVID-19 was being admitted each day. According to their 
patient census tracking, the Queen’s Medical Centre and City Hospital 
are averaging 14 admissions with seven people on mechanical ventilation 
per day.

The Czech Republic has been the hardest hit in the initial throes of the 
second wave. The rise in cases is proceeding at an exponential rate, 
with new cases reaching 15,000 per day and deaths exceeding over 100. 
Prime Minister Andrej Babis addressed the nation from Prague on 
Wednesday, saying, “We certainly made mistakes when we thought at the 
end of May, when we finished the reopening, that we had managed it.”

Poland saw 13,632 cases and 153 deaths Friday. The government is 
converting the National Stadium in Warsaw into a temporary field 
hospital to manage patients. The near 60,000 capacity stadium will make 
room for more than 500 patients to be equipped with oxygen therapy, 
according to Piotr Muller, a government spokesperson. Medical oxygen, an 
essential intervention in treating COVID patients, is once again in 
critical shortage.

Spain and Italy reported almost 20,000 new cases yesterday. Germany had 
13,476 cases; Belgium reported 16,746. Europe accounts for almost 
one-third of all coronavirus deaths The Netherlands had nearly 10,000 
cases. In the face of this massive surge of infections, the 
controversial Swedish state epidemiologist, Dr. Anders Tegnell, told BBC 
Radio 4’s “Today” program, “Basically, we mean that we will send a 
message to elderly people, you don’t need to isolate anymore completely.”

These developments are a product of abject political failures that have 
placed the needs of financial markets above life. Adam Kamradt-Scott, a 
global health professor at the University of Sydney, told Vox, “It was 
understandable that countries imposed lockdowns in the initial weeks 
when countries first got hit and were quickly overwhelmed. But six 
months on, countries should have sufficient systems in place to 
undertake the necessary contact tracing and have a range of other 
measures they can use to limit the spread of the virus, rather than 
looking to hard lockdowns as the answer.”

Damiano Sandri, an IMF analyst who has been studying the impact of the 
virus on economic activity, noted that economic “damage is also done if 
you get a strong wave of infections and people start dying.”